The Wire - May 12, 2025

//The Wire//2300Z May 12, 2025//
//ROUTINE//
//BLUF: POTENTIAL SCHOOL SHOOTING THWARTED IN MAINE BY VIGILANT STUDENT. INDIA/PAKISTAN CONFLICT REMAINS TENSE FOLLOWING MULTIPLE CEASEFIRE VIOLATIONS. WHITE HOUSE ANNOUNCES TRADE DEAL WITH CHINA.//

 -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----
 
-International Events-

India/Pakistan: Almost immediately following Saturday's ceasefire, the conflict remained kinetic following what may have been a brief mutiny incident in the Pakistani Armed Forces. Though nothing remains confirmed (and everything is speculative), a small handful of Pakistani artillery units appear to have not recognized Pakistan's ceasefire order, and kept firing through the ceasefire that had been brokered. This led to India accusing Pakistan of violating the ceasefire and retaliating in kind. Several more drone incursions were reported originating from Pakistan the following day, and throughout Saturday afternoon and Sunday limited fighting has continued along the Line-of-Control (LoC). By Monday morning, most of the fighting has simmered down.

AC: It would be a stretch to say that the ceasefire is "holding" however the fighting has reduced in intensity as both nations have made increased efforts to regain control of their own forces along the LoC. This may flare back up by tomorrow, but for now both nations have gotten their licks in, and both are probably looking for a face-saving exit plan from this conflict.

United Kingdom: This morning widespread issues were reported throughout the Underground subway system in London. Four subway routes were shut down due to a loss of power along the lines, which struck immediately before rush hour.

North Africa: Heavy clashes were reported overnight in Libya as a prominent militia leader was killed. Abdel-ghani al-Kikli, the infamous warlord leading the Stabilization Support Authority (SSA), was assassinated in Tripoli last night, leading to his militia group causing unrest throughout the city.

AC: While this may seem like a brutal (but standard) part of life in Libya, this may have an affect on the immigration situation over the next few months. Al-Kikli (also known locally as 'Ghaniwa') became famous (or rather, infamous) for his group's expansion in multiple sectors throughout the nation. Whether it's crude oil or arms trafficking, the SSA is involved in some manner throughout Libya. In the global West, the only reason his name is known is largely for one reason...his involvement in the exploitation, torture, and abuse of sub-Saharan migrants looking to use Libya as a jumping off point for migration to Europe. In short, though al-Kikli was a brutal warlord accused of a plethora of human rights abuses, he (and his group) were one of the only entities that was a hinderance to migration operations. Now that al-Kikli's brutal hand is no longer a factor for migrants, this could lead to increased unrest throughout the region, in addition to all of the other sectors that will be affected by this loss. Power vacuums in Libya have a way of affecting the global west in one way or another, so keeping an eye on this situation would be worthwhile.

 -HomeFront-

Washington D.C. - The White House has announced a series of policy changes related to the trade war between the United States and China. A series of trade deals has been reached, and the United States has reduced tariffs on China from 145% to 30%, while China has reduced their tariffs on the US from 125% to 10%. This deal will go into effect immediately, and last for 90 days while other economic talks continue.

Maine: A potential mass shooter was arrested before an attack in Biddeford on Friday. Local school officials at Biddeford High School have stated that a man was arrested after being observed by a  student to be loading a rifle in the parking lot. Local authorities have identified the potential attacker as 21-year-old Mohammed Hussein Kamaludeen,